Vitoria de Sernache vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAF
5 - 1
VIT
74%
18%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 3
ALC
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAV
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAL
18%
23%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
8%
19%
73%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 1
ALC
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALV
18%
20%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
ALC
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |