El Salvador vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.6%
74.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
SLV
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
SLV
1 - 0
PAN
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 2
GTM
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 0
SLV
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
HND
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 1
MEX
6%
18%
75%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
MEX
12%
21%
67%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
JAM
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | +1 |