Vitória Guimarães vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
SAL
1 - 3
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2001 |
FAR
0 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 2
GFC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FAR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GFC
1 - 1
PAÇ
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
UDL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 0
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
BEL
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |