Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Vitória Guimarães vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
28%
27%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
ARO
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VST
0 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOA
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TON
2 - 0
CHA
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |