Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIT
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
FAM
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
SLB
7%
16%
77%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
SLB
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |