Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCP
22%
22%
55%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 2
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
6 - 2
SPB
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |