Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 2
VIT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 5
SPB
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 0
VIT
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
PAÇ
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 0
FEI
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EST
0 - 2
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 5
AVE
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
VST
3 - 0
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |