Vitória SC B vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
VSC
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VSC
0 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEX
1 - 1
VSC
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
OLH
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
FAM
3 - 3
VSC
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 3
PEN
7%
16%
77%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
OLI
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |