Vitória Guimarães B vs Atlético Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
13º
1º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
VSC
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 1
PEV
47%
25%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
VSC
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 2
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 1
VSC
45%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
REB
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATA
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 1
SAL
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
ATL
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATA
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |