Série D Brazil . Last 16
Global 1-2
Vitória ES vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
51.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIT
54%
25%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
BRA
35%
30%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SOB
1 - 2
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ITU
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
URT
1 - 0
ITU
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
4 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITU
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |