Capixaba Fase Final. Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Vitória ES vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RVV
2 - 3
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 3
NVE
32%
23%
46%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
NVE
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 4
EST
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |