Capixaba Fase Final. Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Vitória ES vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Play responsibly. 18+
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
65%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 5
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
REM
27%
25%
49%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
65%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
EST
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
VFC
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
18%
20%
61%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |