Vitória ES vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
BAH
7 - 0
VIT
73%
19%
8%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
CON
2 - 1
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
FLU
6 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 1
VIT
28%
31%
42%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
AME
3 - 0
DES
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
DES
1 - 0
VOL
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1977 |
DES
0 - 2
FLA
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
DES
0 - 5
FLU
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AVA
1 - 0
DES
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |