Vitória do Pico vs Flamengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
17%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.2%
39.3%
Draw
0-0
26.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
39.2%
31.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.2%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-31%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
VIT
FLA
SAN
FAB
OLI
PER
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória do Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO VIT | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IDE
2 - 0
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
256 | 235 | -21 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
RAB
46%
27%
27%
|
257 | 264 | -7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ANG
4 - 0
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
259 | 363 | 104 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
PRA
45%
27%
28%
|
259 | 243 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
261 | 261 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Flamengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FLA | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
FAB
45%
27%
28%
|
253 | 237 | 16 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
3 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
28%
|
255 | 257 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
IDE
6 - 1
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
258 | 231 | -27 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
RAB
45%
27%
28%
|
258 | 261 | -3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANG
12 - 0
FLA
47%
27%
26%
|
261 | 358 | 97 | -3 |