Vitória da Conquista vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
74.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ADA
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAL
4 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
28%
27%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 2
BAH
3%
10%
87%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |