Baiano 1 . Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Vitória da Conquista vs Colo Colo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 4
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 1
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |