Vitesse vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FEY
2 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RJC
3 - 3
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
ZWO
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 4
VIT
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
RJC
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |