Vitesse vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
FEY
2 - 1
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRO
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
RBC
3 - 1
VIT
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 5
PSV
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 4
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 3
NEC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 1
NEC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |