Vitesse vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
VIT
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 2
FCO
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 1
RKC
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RKC
0 - 1
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
TWE
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
RKC
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |