Vis Nova Giussano vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 3
SER
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DES
0 - 3
FAN
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SON
2 - 1
DES
27%
22%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
VCB
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
DES
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ADR
48%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |