Virtus vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 1
VIR
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
VIR
7%
19%
75%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
TFI
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
LIB
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 2
SMA
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
SMA
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 5
TPE
13%
21%
66%
|
23 | 69 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 5
SGI
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |