Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
26%
24%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
7 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
VIR
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 2
COS
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 0
LIB
74%
17%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 4
FIO
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -2 |