San Marino League Normal Season Round 11

AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis

AC Virtus Cosmos
58 ELO 47
-8.7% Tilt 1%
1771º General ELO ranking 1867º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.8%
AC Virtus
21.9%
Draw
15.2%
Cosmos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
AC Virtus
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
Cosmos
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AC Virtus
+34%
-7%
Cosmos

Points and table prediction

AC Virtus
Their league position
Cosmos
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tre Penne
68
68
100%
Cosmos
67
67
100%
La Fiorita
60
60
100%
AC Virtus
57
57
100%
Tre Fiori
56
56
100%
Libertas
47
47
100%
Folgore
31
31
100%
Murata
30
30
100%
Juvenes / Dogana
29
29
100%
Domagnano
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Pennarossa
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Faetano
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Fiorentino
13º
23
23
13º
100%
San Giovanni
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Cailungo
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
AC Virtus
Cosmos
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

AC Virtus
Cosmos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AC Virtus
AC Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2022
TFI
Tre Fiori
1 - 0
AC Virtus
VIR
66%
19%
15%
58 68 10 0
27 Nov. 2022
MUR
Murata
1 - 2
AC Virtus
VIR
25%
25%
51%
58 48 10 0
13 Nov. 2022
CAI
Cailungo
1 - 3
AC Virtus
VIR
18%
23%
59%
58 42 16 0
05 Nov. 2022
VIR
AC Virtus
0 - 0
Tre Penne
TPE
20%
24%
57%
58 66 8 0
19 Oct. 2022
VIR
AC Virtus
1 - 1
Cosmos
COS
72%
18%
10%
58 41 17 0

Matches

Cosmos
Cosmos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
COS
Cosmos
4 - 0
Fiorentino
FIO
35%
25%
40%
44 49 5 0
11 Nov. 2022
DOM
Domagnano
1 - 2
Cosmos
COS
57%
23%
21%
43 48 5 +1
22 Oct. 2022
JUV
Juvenes / Dogana
0 - 2
Cosmos
COS
54%
22%
24%
42 44 2 +1
19 Oct. 2022
VIR
AC Virtus
1 - 1
Cosmos
COS
72%
18%
10%
41 58 17 +1
16 Oct. 2022
LIB
Libertas
1 - 1
Cosmos
COS
74%
17%
9%
41 60 19 0