AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 0
VIR
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 3
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
VIR
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
COS
2 - 5
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
COS
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
52%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 1
COS
79%
14%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
COS
0 - 5
FOL
13%
24%
63%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |