Virtus Castelfranco vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TUT
0 - 0
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
ROS
57%
23%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 2
VIR
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
MEZ
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ROS
2 - 2
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 3
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MEZ
4 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAG
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |