Virtus Casarano vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 1
NAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
MOL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
FCF
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIA
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
VIR
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FBC
2 - 1
RAA
39%
25%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 2
FIA
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
FBC
65%
20%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PUT
2 - 1
FBC
36%
24%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TAR
1 - 0
FBC
68%
21%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |