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Croatia Third Division. Norte, Matchday 22

Virovitica vs NK Papuk Orahovica analysis

Virovitica NK Papuk Orahovica
21 ELO 18
6% Tilt 35%
7751º General ELO ranking 8687º
83º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Virovitica
25%
Draw
33.9%
NK Papuk Orahovica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
Virovitica
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.9%
Win probability
NK Papuk Orahovica
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Virovitica
-19%
+28%
NK Papuk Orahovica

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
NK Polet
51
51
100%
Mladost Ždralovi
50
50
100%
Bjelovar
45
45
100%
NK Križevci
44
44
100%
Medjimurje Cakovec
39
39
100%
Podravina
31
31
100%
NK Papuk Orahovica
25
25
100%
Varteks
22
22
100%
NK Koprivnica
17
17
10º
50%
Virovitica
10º
17
17
50%
Podravac
11º
16
16
12º
50%
NK Rudar
12º
16
16
11º
50%
Expected probabilities
Virovitica
NK Papuk Orahovica
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Virovitica
VIR
NK Papuk Orahovica
PAP
NK Rudar
RMS
Varteks
NKV
Podravac
POD
NK Koprivnica
NKS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virovitica
Virovitica
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2022
NKK
NK Križevci
5 - 0
Virovitica
VIR
41%
28%
31%
273 193 -80 -3
02 Apr. 2022
VIR
Virovitica
4 - 2
Podravac
POD
48%
27%
26%
271 188 83 +2
26 Mar. 2022
BJE
Bjelovar
3 - 1
Virovitica
VIR
48%
27%
26%
271 347 76 -2
19 Mar. 2022
VIR
Virovitica
2 - 1
NK Rudar
RMS
44%
27%
29%
272 259 13 +1
13 Mar. 2022
NKS
NK Koprivnica
1 - 1
Virovitica
VIR
48%
27%
26%
272 351 79 0

Matches

NK Papuk Orahovica
NK Papuk Orahovica
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2022
PAP
NK Papuk Orahovica
0 - 1
Podravina
POD
46%
27%
27%
245 251 -6 -1
02 Apr. 2022
NKV
Varteks
1 - 0
NK Papuk Orahovica
PAP
44%
27%
29%
246 259 13 -1
26 Mar. 2022
PAP
NK Papuk Orahovica
0 - 1
NK Polet
NKP
41%
28%
31%
246 311 -65 -1
19 Mar. 2022
MEI
Medjimurje Cakovec
1 - 0
NK Papuk Orahovica
PAP
47%
27%
26%
249 392 143 -1
12 Mar. 2022
PAP
NK Papuk Orahovica
0 - 3
Mladost Ždralovi
MZL
45%
27%
28%
251 342 -91 -2