Vimy vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
12º
8º
28
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VIM
2 - 1
RCC
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIM
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIM
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VIM
2 - 2
LPV
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIM
5 - 1
REI
21%
22%
56%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
DRA
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DRA
5 - 2
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 4
NAN
4%
14%
83%
|
35 | 81 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 1
REI
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
IRI
4 - 0
DRA
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |