Villena vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+234%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALM
28%
24%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PET
1 - 4
VIL
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
RAF
50%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THD
1 - 2
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ELD
3 - 0
THD
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
THD
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
THD
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |