Villegas vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
AGO
14%
22%
64%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TED
0 - 2
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
PRA
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
VIL
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAX
1 - 0
VIA
85%
11%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
NAX
10%
19%
71%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAX
4 - 0
OYO
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SMC
1 - 4
NAX
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NAX
0 - 4
SDL
37%
23%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |