Villegas vs Bañuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 0
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 0
CFC
58%
21%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
TED
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bañuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAÑ
1 - 2
CAS
24%
23%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TED
3 - 2
BAÑ
70%
18%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
BAÑ
75%
16%
10%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAÑ
3 - 0
CDS
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
COM
4 - 1
BAÑ
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |