noscript image

La Liga. Matchday 32

Villarreal Barcelona
84 ELO 96
4% Tilt 27%
44º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.2%
Villarreal
22.5%
Draw
54.2%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
Villarreal
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.2%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villarreal
+2%
+5%
Barcelona

Points and table prediction

Villarreal
Their league position
Barcelona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
12º
65
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
69
81
31%
Atlético
67
80
29%
Barcelona
65
83
19%
Sevilla
64
74
74%
Real Betis
48
57
34%
R. Sociedad
47
60
25%
Villarreal
46
55
28%
Granada
39
50
13%
Athletic
38
49
14%
Levante
10º
38
46
11º
13%
Celta
11º
37
47
10º
13%
Osasuna
12º
37
41
14º
15%
Cádiz
13º
35
42
13º
17%
Valencia
14º
34
44
12º
13%
Getafe
15º
30
36
15º
18%
Real Valladolid
16º
28
35
16º
16%
Huesca
17º
27
33
17º
16%
Elche
18º
27
33
18º
19%
Alavés
19º
27
33
19º
19%
Eibar
20º
23
29
20º
41%
Expected probabilities
Villarreal
Barcelona
Champion
0% 53%
Champions League
0% 47%
Europa League
51% 0%
Europa Conference League
28% 0%
Mid-table
21% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Villarreal
VIL
Granada
GRA
Arsenal
ARS
Sevilla
SEV
Newcastle
NEW
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villarreal
Villarreal
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2021
ALA
Alavés
2 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
35%
27%
39%
2728 1916 -812 0
18 Apr. 2021
LEV
Levante
1 - 5
Villarreal
VIL
34%
27%
39%
2711 2141 -570 +17
15 Apr. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
2 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
61%
21%
18%
2705 2056 649 +8
11 Apr. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Osasuna
OSA
61%
21%
18%
2722 2085 637 -19
08 Apr. 2021
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
0 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
36%
27%
37%
2714 2061 -653 +11

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
ATH
Athletic
0 - 4
Barcelona
FCB
25%
25%
50%
3670 2571 -1099 +14
10 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
47%
27%
26%
3673 3502 -171 -12
05 Apr. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
84%
11%
5%
3672 1978 1694 +1
21 Mar. 2021
RSO
R. Sociedad
1 - 6
Barcelona
FCB
28%
26%
46%
3661 2625 -1036 +12
15 Mar. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Huesca
HUE
80%
11%
9%
3659 1551 2108 +1