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La Liga. Matchday 25

Villarreal Atlético
83 ELO 93
8% Tilt -8%
45º General ELO ranking 10º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.9%
Villarreal
27.1%
Draw
37.1%
Atlético

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
Villarreal
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.1%
Win probability
Atlético
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villarreal
-3%
-2%
Atlético

Basic stats

63
37
POS
18
6
SOT
10
2
COR
0
2
GF
2
0
GC
20
16
FRK
83
93
ELO
1.2
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Villarreal
Their league position
Atlético
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
12º
86
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético
86
86
100%
Real Madrid
84
84
100%
Barcelona
79
79
100%
Sevilla
77
77
100%
R. Sociedad
62
62
100%
Real Betis
61
61
100%
Villarreal
58
58
100%
Celta
53
53
100%
Granada
46
46
50%
Athletic
10º
46
46
10º
50%
Osasuna
11º
44
44
11º
50%
Cádiz
12º
44
44
12º
50%
Valencia
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Levante
14º
41
41
14º
100%
Getafe
15º
38
38
15º
50%
Alavés
16º
38
38
16º
50%
Elche
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Huesca
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Real Valladolid
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Eibar
20º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Villarreal
Atlético
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atlético
ATM
Villarreal
VIL
Valencia
VCF
Real Madrid
RMA
R. Sociedad
RSO
Athletic
ATH
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villarreal
Villarreal
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
2 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
60%
22%
18%
2667 2320 347 +10
21 Feb. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Villarreal
VIL
47%
27%
26%
2663 2568 -95 +1
18 Feb. 2021
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 2
Villarreal
VIL
42%
27%
31%
2647 2331 -316 +19
14 Feb. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Real Betis
BET
55%
24%
21%
2658 2415 243 -16
06 Feb. 2021
ELC
Elche
2 - 2
Villarreal
VIL
24%
24%
52%
2666 1508 -1158 -8

Matches

Atlético
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2021
ATM
Atlético
0 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
56%
24%
20%
3402 3191 211 -29
20 Feb. 2021
ATM
Atlético
0 - 2
Levante
LEV
79%
14%
8%
3432 2131 1301 -34
13 Feb. 2021
GRA
Granada
1 - 2
Atlético
ATM
25%
25%
51%
3428 2231 -1197 +5
08 Feb. 2021
ATM
Atlético
2 - 2
Celta
CEL
80%
13%
6%
3437 2255 1182 -10
31 Jan. 2021
CAD
Cádiz
2 - 4
Atlético
ATM
13%
19%
68%
3433 1851 -1582 +4