Villarreal vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 0
VIL
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
CCF
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GET
1 - 1
VIL
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VCF
0 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
ELC
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
75%
15%
9%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATM
16%
25%
59%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 2
ATM
24%
28%
49%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |