Europa League . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Villarreal vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
FCB
27%
23%
50%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
67%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 5
VIL
27%
25%
49%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
DZG
71%
17%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
OSA
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 1
FUL
77%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SLP
0 - 4
ARS
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 3
ARS
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 1
SLP
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |