Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 3
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 7
VIL
7%
17%
76%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAY
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 3
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 0
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 1
ALA
9%
20%
72%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
GET
38%
28%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
UNA
0 - 3
ALA
5%
16%
78%
|
81 | 21 | 60 | 0 |