Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VAD
1 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
VIL
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 2
OSA
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
ANK
1 - 2
ALA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ALA
0 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALA
15%
25%
60%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
RAY
2 - 2
ALA
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
OSA
0 - 1
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |