Villarreal B vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
RCD
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HOS
2 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UES
2 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
REU
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RCD
5 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ZAR
2 - 3
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REU
2 - 0
ZAR
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ZAR
3 - 2
OLO
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LLE
1 - 0
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |