Villarcayo Nela vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RBU
2 - 1
VIL
57%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
GRO
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COL
7 - 2
VIL
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SJO
1 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 6
COL
10%
14%
77%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEC
4 - 0
EST
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
SAL
19%
19%
63%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
5 - 0
EST
75%
15%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CFB
2 - 1
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |