Village United vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Village United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
HAR
25%
28%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
BOY
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
ARN
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ARN
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 0
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
ARN
60%
26%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
ARN
0 - 1
HIG
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |