Villafranca vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
EXT
46%
25%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 3
VIL
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
MIA
34%
26%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 0
AZU
48%
26%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 2
EMD
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
ARR
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |