Serie D Grupo C. Jor. 27

Villafranca vs Montebelluna analysis

Villafranca Montebelluna
18 ELO 19
-16% Tilt -21.2%
10603º General ELO ranking 9495º
341º Country ELO ranking 306º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Villafranca
24.8%
Draw
32%
Montebelluna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Villafranca
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32%
Win probability
Montebelluna
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villafranca
+6%
-44%
Montebelluna

ELO progression

Villafranca
Montebelluna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villafranca
Villafranca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
UNI
Union Feltre
1 - 0
Villafranca
VIL
69%
19%
12%
18 32 14 0
02 Feb. 2020
VIL
Villafranca
1 - 2
Vigasio
VIG
41%
23%
36%
19 20 1 -1
26 Jan. 2020
MES
Mestre
3 - 1
Villafranca
VIL
82%
13%
6%
19 38 19 0
19 Jan. 2020
CHI
Chions
0 - 0
Villafranca
VIL
58%
20%
22%
19 22 3 0
15 Jan. 2020
VIL
Villafranca
0 - 0
Caldiero Terme
CAL
30%
23%
47%
19 25 6 0

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 2
Mestre
MES
13%
20%
67%
21 39 18 0
02 Feb. 2020
CHI
Chions
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
53%
22%
25%
21 22 1 0
26 Jan. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 3
Caldiero Terme
CAL
36%
24%
41%
22 25 3 -1
19 Jan. 2020
CAR
Cartigliano
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
61%
20%
19%
22 26 4 0
15 Jan. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
3 - 4
Legnago Salus
LEG
29%
25%
46%
23 28 5 -1