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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 27

Villafranca vs Montebelluna analysis

Villafranca Montebelluna
12 ELO 10
-21% Tilt 14%
15921º General ELO ranking 7019º
544º Country ELO ranking 280º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Villafranca
28.4%
Draw
38.1%
Montebelluna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
Villafranca
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.1%
Win probability
Montebelluna
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villafranca
-18%
-17%
Montebelluna

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Campodarsego
54
72
36%
Legnago Salus
49
63
12%
Ambrosiana
48
65
9%
Clodiense
47
63
10%
Mestre
45
61
8%
Adriese
44
63
8%
Union Feltre
44
59
8%
Cartigliano
42
58
9%
Cjarlins Muzane
42
59
9%
Luparense
10º
37
55
10º
9%
Caldiero Terme
11º
37
48
13º
9%
AC Este
12º
36
52
11º
8%
Chions
13º
35
48
14º
9%
Belluno
14º
34
48
12º
10%
Delta Porto Tolle
15º
31
45
15º
11%
Montebelluna
16º
30
42
17º
13%
Vigasio
17º
30
42
16º
13%
Tamai
18º
22
33
19º
26%
San Luigi
19º
21
35
18º
24%
Villafranca
20º
17
28
20º
47%
Expected probabilities
Villafranca
Montebelluna
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 1%
Mid-table
2% 34%
Relegation playoffs
31% 49%
Relegation
68% 16%

ELO progression

Montebelluna
MON
Villafranca
VIL
Union Feltre
UNI
Delta Porto Tolle
DEL
Caldiero Terme
CAL
AC Este
ACE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villafranca
Villafranca
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
UNI
Union Feltre
1 - 0
Villafranca
VIL
47%
27%
26%
169 271 102 -1
02 Feb. 2020
VIL
Villafranca
1 - 2
Vigasio
VIG
45%
27%
29%
170 253 -83 -1
26 Jan. 2020
MES
Mestre
3 - 1
Villafranca
VIL
51%
25%
24%
172 440 268 -2
19 Jan. 2020
CHI
Chions
0 - 0
Villafranca
VIL
47%
27%
26%
172 275 103 0
15 Jan. 2020
VIL
Villafranca
0 - 0
Caldiero Terme
CAL
45%
27%
29%
172 279 -107 0

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO MON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 2
Mestre
MES
40%
28%
32%
154 443 -289 -2
02 Feb. 2020
CHI
Chions
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
49%
26%
25%
154 274 120 0
26 Jan. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 3
Caldiero Terme
CAL
41%
28%
31%
156 280 -124 -2
19 Jan. 2020
CAR
Cartigliano
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
49%
26%
25%
156 285 129 0
15 Jan. 2020
MON
Montebelluna
3 - 4
Legnago Salus
LEG
45%
27%
29%
157 239 -82 -1