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Primera B Metro.. Clausura, Matchday 15

Villa San Carlos vs CA San Miguel analysis

Villa San Carlos CA San Miguel
38 ELO 31
2% Tilt -24%
2710º General ELO ranking 3217º
90º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
57.8%
Villa San Carlos
25.1%
Draw
17.1%
CA San Miguel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
Villa San Carlos
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.1%
Win probability
CA San Miguel
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villa San Carlos
-30%
-21%
CA San Miguel

Points and table prediction

Villa San Carlos
Their league position
CA San Miguel
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
17º
15º
17
10º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flandria
34
34
100%
Colegiales
30
30
100%
Sacachispas
29
29
100%
Acassuso
28
28
100%
JJ Urquiza
27
27
100%
Cañuelas
24
24
100%
Los Andes
20
20
50%
Dep. Armenio
20
20
50%
UAI Urquiza
19
19
50%
Comunicaciones
10º
19
19
10º
50%
Talleres R. Escalada
11º
18
18
11º
50%
Def. Unidos
12º
18
18
12º
50%
CA San Miguel
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Deportivo Merlo
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Villa San Carlos
15º
15
15
15º
100%
Arg. Quilmes
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Fénix Bs As
17º
10
10
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Villa San Carlos
CA San Miguel
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

CA San Miguel
SMG
Villa San Carlos
VSC
Dep. Armenio
ARM
Deportivo Merlo
MER
Flandria
FLA
Comunicaciones
COM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villa San Carlos
Villa San Carlos
1%
X%
2%
ELO VSC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
TAL
Talleres R. Escalada
2 - 2
Villa San Carlos
VSC
45%
27%
28%
545 545 0 0
09 Oct. 2021
VSC
Villa San Carlos
1 - 1
UAI Urquiza
UAI
45%
27%
28%
545 554 -9 0
02 Oct. 2021
COM
Comunicaciones
2 - 0
Villa San Carlos
VSC
45%
27%
28%
548 524 -24 -4
25 Sep. 2021
VSC
Villa San Carlos
0 - 0
Dep. Armenio
ARM
45%
27%
28%
548 562 -14 0
13 Sep. 2021
CAD
Def. Unidos
1 - 2
Villa San Carlos
VSC
40%
28%
33%
546 328 -218 +2

Matches

CA San Miguel
CA San Miguel
1%
X%
2%
ELO SMG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
SMG
CA San Miguel
1 - 1
Def. Unidos
CAD
46%
27%
26%
393 333 60 0
09 Oct. 2021
FEN
Fénix Bs As
1 - 2
CA San Miguel
SMG
46%
27%
26%
390 442 52 +3
02 Oct. 2021
SMG
CA San Miguel
0 - 2
Colegiales
COL
42%
27%
31%
394 557 -163 -3
25 Sep. 2021
AND
Los Andes
0 - 0
CA San Miguel
SMG
55%
25%
21%
393 772 379 +1
18 Sep. 2021
SMG
CA San Miguel
1 - 1
Arg. Quilmes
ARQ
45%
27%
29%
393 500 -107 0