Villa San Carlos vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
5 - 0
VSC
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VSC
0 - 1
DOC
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
VSC
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 0
LAM
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
VSC
47%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -4 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ARQ
2 - 0
LUJ
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LAM
1 - 1
ARQ
20%
25%
56%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
SBA
4 - 1
ARQ
15%
22%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ARQ
1 - 0
MER
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -4 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
ARQ
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |