Villa Nova vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
USC
0 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
DEM
2 - 3
VIL
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FUN
0 - 3
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
IFC
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 0
DEM
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 0
IFC
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |