Villa Nova vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOA
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
GUA
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 4
TOM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |