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Brazilian Serie A. Primera Fase Group D, Matchday 11

Villa Nova vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis

Villa Nova Desportiva Ferroviária
70 ELO 66
-18% Tilt -36%
4600º General ELO ranking 4017º
288º Country ELO ranking 267º
ELO win probability
55.2%
Villa Nova
28.8%
Draw
16%
Desportiva Ferroviária

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
Villa Nova
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
20%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.8%
16%
Win probability
Desportiva Ferroviária
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villa Nova
-44%
-1%
Desportiva Ferroviária

Points and table prediction

Villa Nova
Their league position
Desportiva Ferroviária
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
12º
12
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bangu
24
24
50%
Ponte Preta
24
24
50%
Joinville
22
22
100%
Leônico Salvador
17
17
100%
Pinheiros
16
16
100%
Brasil de Pelotas
15
15
50%
Brasília
15
15
50%
Desportiva Ferroviária
12
12
100%
Villa Nova
11
11
100%
Uberlândia
10º
10
10
10º
50%
Vila Nova Goiânia
11º
10
10
11º
50%
Corumbaense
12º
6
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Villa Nova
Desportiva Ferroviária
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
Villa Nova
VIL
Pinheiros
PIN
Vila Nova Goiânia
VNG
Leônico Salvador
ADL
Ponte Preta
PPE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villa Nova
Villa Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 1985
BAN
Bangu
1 - 1
Villa Nova
VIL
47%
27%
26%
1926 1950 24 +1
03 Mar. 1985
COR
Corumbaense
0 - 0
Villa Nova
VIL
47%
27%
26%
1925 1944 19 +1
27 Feb. 1985
VIL
Villa Nova
0 - 2
Brasília
BRA
53%
24%
22%
1944 1686 258 -19
24 Feb. 1985
VIL
Villa Nova
2 - 0
Leônico Salvador
ADL
47%
27%
26%
1930 2014 -84 +14
13 Feb. 1985
UBE
Uberlândia
3 - 0
Villa Nova
VIL
48%
27%
26%
1946 1902 -44 -16

Matches

Desportiva Ferroviária
Desportiva Ferroviária
1%
X%
2%
ELO DES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 1985
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
3 - 1
Leônico Salvador
ADL
39%
28%
32%
1680 2022 -342 +17
03 Mar. 1985
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
3 - 0
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
41%
27%
32%
1661 1925 -264 +19
27 Feb. 1985
PIN
Pinheiros
1 - 0
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
56%
24%
20%
1667 1982 315 -7
24 Feb. 1985
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 0
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
57%
24%
20%
1676 2159 483 -9
13 Feb. 1985
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
0 - 1
Joinville
JEC
45%
27%
28%
1686 1841 -155 -10