Série A Segunda Fase Grupo O. Jor. 2

Villa Nova vs Comercial analysis

Villa Nova Comercial
68 ELO 65
-4.5% Tilt -8.9%
4003º General ELO ranking 4982º
132º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Villa Nova
24.1%
Draw
19.2%
Comercial

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
Villa Nova
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
Comercial
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villa Nova
-1%
-41%
Comercial

ELO progression

Villa Nova
Comercial
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villa Nova
Villa Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 1979
CSA
CSA
1 - 0
Villa Nova
VIL
58%
24%
18%
68 70 2 0
03 Nov. 1979
BOT
Botafogo PB
4 - 2
Villa Nova
VIL
57%
25%
19%
69 71 2 -1
01 Nov. 1979
VIL
Villa Nova
1 - 2
Campo Grande
ECG
32%
28%
40%
69 79 10 0
23 Oct. 1979
TUN
Tuna Luso
0 - 1
Villa Nova
VIL
47%
27%
26%
69 62 7 0
20 Oct. 1979
VIL
Villa Nova
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
60%
22%
18%
69 61 8 0

Matches

Comercial
Comercial
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 1979
COM
Comercial
1 - 0
Uberaba SC
USC
42%
28%
30%
64 75 11 0
24 Jun. 1978
OPE
Operário MS
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
71%
19%
10%
61 79 18 +3
22 Jun. 1978
BOT
Botafogo SP
3 - 0
Comercial
COM
80%
14%
6%
61 80 19 0
17 Jun. 1978
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
80%
14%
6%
62 80 18 -1
13 Jun. 1978
COM
Comercial
2 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
37%
28%
35%
62 73 11 0
X