Villa Nova vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
UBE
0 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEM
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
POA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
CAL
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
23%
67%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOM
19%
27%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
URT
1 - 3
CAL
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |