Villa Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
PIN
1 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1985 |
PPE
1 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
3 - 2
AME
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
USC
2 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 4
ADL
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 1
UBE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
POR
4 - 1
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
SCI
1 - 1
BRA
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
BRA
1 - 0
FLA
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |