Villa Nova vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
DEM
4 - 3
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
78%
17%
6%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 0
AMF
17%
23%
59%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 3
ATM
28%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
UBE
0 - 3
AMF
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |